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Gabriel Bonfim's finishing rate is the number that matters against Sean Brady
Does the finishing pattern in our archive make this a fight that ends early? Tale of the tape, form and the distance question for Gabriel Bonfim vs. Sean Brady at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady on Nov 7, 2026.
- WBelal MuhammadU-DEC R5 · Jun 26
- WRandy BrownKO/TKO R2 · Nov 25
- W
The setup
On Saturday, November 7, 2026, UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady brings Gabriel Bonfim (20-1-0) and Sean Brady (19-2-0) together at welterweight as the main event at Meta APEX in Las Vegas, scheduled for five rounds.
Our schedule tables list 13 bouts on the card. Five scheduled rounds is the format detail that matters most for the markets: it doubles the time a finish can arrive in and changes what a total-rounds line means. The bout is listed as announced in the PropBetEdge schedule.
The question this preview works through is whether the finishing pattern in our archive makes this a fight that ends early, and what that does to the distance and method markets. Career-to-date round statistics are on file for both fighters.
Polymarket links are affiliate links: PropBetEdge may earn compensation from qualifying activity. It never changes the prices or comparisons shown.
Tale of the tape
- Record: Gabriel Bonfim 20-1-0 · Sean Brady 19-2-0
- Age: Gabriel Bonfim 29 · Sean Brady 33
- Height: Gabriel Bonfim 6'1" · Sean Brady 5'10"
- Reach: Gabriel Bonfim 72.5" · Sean Brady 72"
- Stance: Gabriel Bonfim Orthodox · Sean Brady Orthodox
- Listed weight: Gabriel Bonfim 170 lbs · Sean Brady 170 lbs
Reach is close to even (72.5" to 72"), so neither fighter starts with a length edge and the striking exchanges begin from the same distance. Both fight orthodox, so lead hands mirror and the rear-hand exchanges are conventional.
Recent form
Our archive has 9 completed UFC bouts for Gabriel Bonfim, 8 wins and 1 loss. 5 of those wins came inside the distance (1 by KO/TKO and 4 by submission), a 63% finish rate on archived wins. He has been finished once in the archive, every loss ending early. He last fought on Jun 6, 2026 and beat Belal Muhammad by unanimous decision in round 5. That puts him 154 days out by fight night.
- W vs Belal Muhammad — unanimous decision, R5 (Jun 6, 2026, UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim)
- W vs Randy Brown — KO/TKO, R2 (Nov 8, 2025, UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown)
- W vs Stephen Thompson — split decision, R3 (Jul 12, 2025, UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira)
- W vs Khaos Williams — submission, R2 (Feb 15, 2025, UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues)
- W vs Ange Loosa — unanimous decision, R3 (Jul 13, 2024, UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez)
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