Marcus McGhee's finishing rate is the number that matters against Anthony Romero

The setup

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang lands on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, and on the prelims sits Marcus McGhee (11-2-0) against Anthony Romero (12-3-0) at featherweight, scheduled for three rounds.

The card carries 10 bouts in our tables, with this pairing on the prelims. The bout is listed as announced in the PropBetEdge schedule.

The question this preview works through is whether the finishing pattern in our archive makes this a fight that ends early, and what that does to the distance and method markets. Career-to-date round statistics are on file for Marcus McGhee only.

Tale of the tape

• Record: Marcus McGhee 11-2-0 · Anthony Romero 12-3-0
• Age: Marcus McGhee 36 · Anthony Romero 29
• Height: Marcus McGhee 5'8" · Anthony Romero 5'11"
• Reach: Marcus McGhee 69" · Anthony Romero 71"
• Stance: Marcus McGhee Orthodox · Anthony Romero Orthodox
• Listed weight: Marcus McGhee 136 lbs · Anthony Romero 156 lbs

The 2-inch reach gap in Anthony Romero's favour (71" to 69") is the tape's headline number; it defines the range each man is working from. A gap under three inches is modest: enough to notice at kicking range, not enough on its own to change how the fight is fought. Anthony Romero is the younger by 7 years (29 to 36). Age on its own tells you little at this level; it reads better alongside the layoff figures in the form section. Both fight orthodox, so lead hands mirror and the rear-hand exchanges are conventional. Listed weights differ: Anthony Romero at 156 lbs to 136 for Marcus McGhee. Listed weight is a roster figure, not a weigh-in, so it is a note rather than an edge.

Recent form

Marcus McGhee has 6 completed UFC bouts in the PropBetEdge archive: 5 wins and 1 loss. 3 of those wins came inside the distance (2 by KO/TKO and 1 by submission), a 60% finish rate on archived wins. The loss went to the scorecards. He last fought on Jun 6, 2026 and beat John Yannis by unanimous decision in round 3. That is 119 days before fight night, a quick turnaround.

• W vs John Yannis — unanimous decision, R3 (Jun 6, 2026, UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim)
• L vs Petr Yan — unanimous decision, R3 (Jul 26, 2025, UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder)
• W vs Jonathan Martinez — unanimous decision, R3 (Nov 16, 2024, UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic)
• W vs Gaston Bolaños — KO/TKO, R2 (Jan 13, 2024, UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2)
• W vs JP Buys — KO/TKO, R1 (Aug 12, 2023, UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos)

Anthony Romero has 1 completed UFC bout in the PropBetEdge archive: 1 win. That win went the distance. Most recently he beat Mike Breeden by unanimous decision in round 3 on Aug 26, 2020. That is 2229 days before fight night on our dates, a layoff long enough to count as a variable in its own right.

• W vs Mike Breeden — unanimous decision, R3 (Aug 26, 2020, Dana White's Contender Series: Season 4, Week 4)

Marcus McGhee is the more recently active of the two (119 days out against 2229 for Romero).

Style and statistical matchup

Marcus McGhee lands 5.44 significant strikes per minute at 43% accuracy and absorbs 3.64 with 56% striking defence. He averages 0.24 takedowns per 15 minutes at 11% accuracy and defends 90% of takedowns, with 0.2 submission attempts per 15. For Anthony Romero, our tables carry no round-level averages, so the comparison is one-sided: treat this as a description of what McGhee brings, not a matchup edge. A 5.44-per-minute output is high-volume by any standard, which is the one number here that connects to a market: it is the profile that lifts significant-strike totals whoever the opponent is.

Round-level PropSports data exists for 14 archived rounds of Marcus McGhee's: 342 of 784 significant strikes landed (44%), 24.4 per round, 1 of 9 takedowns, 2:53 of control time and 3 knockdowns. That is a small sample and is offered as colour, not as a rate.

What could break the angle

The counter-case is mostly about sample. Anthony Romero has only 1 archived UFC bout in the PropBetEdge database, so the form read is thin. Round-level striking and grappling averages are not on file for Anthony Romero, so pace, defence and takedown rates cannot be compared both ways. Anthony Romero will have been out 2229 days by fight night on our archive dates: a long layoff the averages cannot price. There is also no odds snapshot in PropBetEdge data for this bout, so nothing above can be checked against a market yet; the read describes what to look for, not where value sits. A late weigh-in miss, a replacement or a change in scheduled rounds would each invalidate parts of it.

Final read

On the data, the finishing pattern is the strongest signal: Marcus McGhee 3 of 5 archived wins early. The uncertainty is mostly about coverage: no career-to-date round statistics for Anthony Romero; archive shorter than 3 bouts for Anthony Romero. What to monitor: the three-round format holding, the weigh-in, and once a price exists, where the fight goes the distance and method of victory markets open relative to this read. No model price or market line exists in PropBetEdge data for this bout, so this is not a pick; the Bettor's Edge panel above carries the impact score and the markets connected to the evidence.

Matchup page: Marcus McGhee vs. Anthony Romero · Full card: UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · Fighter pages: Marcus McGhee, Anthony Romero.