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Why Yana Santos's takedown defence is the key variable against Luana Santos
Can Yana Santos keep the fight standing against Luana Santos's 2.14 takedowns per 15 minutes? What the tape, the archive and the round statistics say ahead of UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan on Oct 31, 2026, and which markets the answer touches.
- WMacy ChiassonU-DEC R3 · Oct 25
- WMiesha TateU-DEC R3 · May 25
- WChelsea Chandler
The setup
On Saturday, October 31, 2026, UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan brings Yana Santos (17-8-0 (1 NC)) and Luana Santos (11-2-0) together at women's bantamweight on the main card at Meta APEX in Las Vegas, scheduled for three rounds.
Our schedule tables list 11 bouts on the card; this one is filed under the main card. The bout is listed as announced in the PropBetEdge schedule.
The question this preview works through is whether Yana Santos can keep the fight where 51% takedown defence says it will struggle to stay, against a 2.14-takedowns-per-15 opponent. Career-to-date round statistics are on file for both fighters, so that comparison is two-sided.
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Tale of the tape
- Record: Yana Santos 17-8-0 (1 NC) · Luana Santos 11-2-0
- Age: Yana Santos 36 · Luana Santos 26
- Height: Yana Santos 5'6" · Luana Santos 5'6"
- Reach: Yana Santos 68" · Luana Santos 67"
- Stance: Yana Santos Orthodox · Luana Santos Orthodox
- Listed weight: Yana Santos 135 lbs · Luana Santos 136 lbs
Reach is close to even (68" to 67"), so neither fighter starts with a length edge and the striking exchanges begin from the same distance. Luana Santos is the younger by 10 years (26 to 36). Age on its own tells you little at this level; it reads better alongside the layoff figures in the form section. Both fight orthodox, so lead hands mirror and the rear-hand exchanges are conventional.
Recent form
Yana Santos has 12 completed UFC bouts in the PropBetEdge archive: 7 wins and 5 losses. None of those wins came inside the distance, a pattern that leans toward the judges. She has been finished 3 times in the archive. Most recently she beat Macy Chiasson by unanimous decision in round 3 on Oct 4, 2025. That is 392 days before fight night on our dates, a layoff long enough to count as a variable in its own right.
- W vs Macy Chiasson — unanimous decision, R3 (Oct 4, 2025, UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2)
- W vs Miesha Tate — unanimous decision, R3 (May 3, 2025, UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo)
- W vs Chelsea Chandler — unanimous decision, R3 (Aug 10, 2024, UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2)
- L vs Karol Rosa — split decision, R3 (Jul 1, 2023, UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov)
- L vs Holly Holm — unanimous decision, R3 (Mar 25, 2023, UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen)
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