Pace: 4.6 vs 2.5 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Volume against volume: 5.8 and 5.8 significant strikes per minute. Defense and accuracy, not output, separate them.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 1.6 takedowns / 15 vs 85% defense
| Attribute | Rodrigues | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 29 |
| Height | 6′3″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 75″ | 75″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | #7 Middleweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Rodrigues averages 1.6 takedowns per 15 minutes; Williams has stopped 85% of attempts on record.
Favors Williams5.8 and 5.8 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (53% vs 50%) decides the exchanges.
Read the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 50% and 35%.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
