Grappling: 8.9 takedowns / 15 vs 0% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Usman's wrestling (2.6 takedowns per 15) against Anjos's striking is the central exchange: Anjos stops 54% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 7 vs 2 five-round fights
| Attribute | Usman | Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 34 |
| Height | 6′0″ | 5′8″ |
| Reach | 76″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Switch | Southpaw |
| Rank | #9 Welterweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Anjos has 7 archived five-round fights to Usman’s 2; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors AnjosUsman holds a 6-inch reach edge (76" to 70"); Anjos has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors UsmanAnjos has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 3.2 strikes per minute; Usman has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors UsmanWatch the first takedown attempt from Usman: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Usman keeps landing takedowns at 2.6 per 15 minutes; if Anjos stays upright, the striking rates (4.1 vs 3.5 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
