Distance: 3-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.3 vs 3 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (6.3 vs 3.3 strikes per minute) and a finishing gap (40% vs 0% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidencePace: 6.3 vs 3.3 landed / min
| Attribute | Jedrzejczyk | Gadelha |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 27 |
| Height | 5′6″ | 5′4″ |
| Reach | 65″ | 63″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Jedrzejczyk lands 6.3 significant strikes per minute to Gadelha’s 3.3: a real volume gap.
Favors JedrzejczykJedrzejczyk has 3 archived five-round fights to Gadelha’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors JedrzejczykGadelha averages 3 takedowns per 15 minutes; Jedrzejczyk has stopped 80% of attempts on record.
Favors JedrzejczykWatch the first takedown attempt from Gadelha: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Gadelha keeps landing takedowns at 3 per 15 minutes; if Jedrzejczyk stays upright, the striking rates (6.3 vs 3.3 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
