Pace: 4.3 vs 2 landed / min
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The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Evans's wrestling (3 takedowns per 15) against Jackson's striking is the central exchange: Jackson stops 73% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 3 takedowns / 15 vs 73% defense
| Attribute | Evans | Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 31 |
| Height | 6′0″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 75″ | 73″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Evans averages 3 takedowns per 15 minutes; Jackson has stopped 73% of attempts on record.
Favors Jackson2.1 and 3.3 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (37% vs 54%) decides the exchanges.
Jackson has finished 60% of archived wins (3 KO/TKO, 0 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors JacksonJackson has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Evans keeps landing takedowns at 3 per 15 minutes; if Jackson stays upright, the striking rates (2.1 vs 3.3 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
