Durability: Hughes finished 5× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Opposite stances create an open-side geometry from the first exchange — lead-foot position and the rear-hand lane matter more than usual.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 1.5 takedowns / 15 vs 75% defense
| Attribute | Jackson | Machida |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 32 |
| Height | 6′1″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 73″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Jackson averages 1.5 takedowns per 15 minutes; Machida has stopped 75% of attempts on record.
Favors Machida3.3 and 2.6 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (54% vs 53%) decides the exchanges.
Jackson has finished 60% of archived wins (3 KO/TKO, 0 submission).
Favors JacksonRead the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 55% and 61%.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
