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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R2 · 3:16
Paul KellyRound 2TJ O'Brien
27 / 46Sig. strikes13 / 17
59%Accuracy76%
87 / 111Total strikes14 / 19
1Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns1 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
2:02Control0:27
8.3Pace / min4.0
82%Control share18%
Paul Kelly
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 7% · clinch 0% · ground 93%
TJ O'Brien
Targethead 69% · body 8% · leg 23%
Phasedistance 77% · clinch 0% · ground 23%
Statistical signals
Output edgePaul Kelly landed 27 significant strikes to 13.Control edgePaul Kelly held 122s of control to 27s.Striking edgeTJ O'Brien struck at 76% accuracy to 59%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
Pace upPaul Kelly's significant-strike pace moved +143% from R1 to R2, 8.3 against 3.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftPaul Kelly's significant-strike accuracy moved +29 pts, 59% against 29%.
Target shiftPaul Kelly's head share of landed strikes moved +41 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftPaul Kelly's ground share of landed strikes moved +93 pts, to 93% on the ground against 7% at distance.
Control swingPaul Kelly's control time moved +70s, 122s against 52s.
Accuracy shiftTJ O'Brien's significant-strike accuracy moved +40 pts, 76% against 37%.
Target shiftTJ O'Brien's head share of landed strikes moved +27 pts, to 69% head with 8% body and 23% leg.
Phase shiftTJ O'Brien's ground share of landed strikes moved +18 pts, to 23% on the ground against 77% at distance.
Defensive driftTJ O'Brien absorbed significant strikes +143% faster than in R1, 8.3 against 3.4 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Paul Kelly
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
TJ O'Brien
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
44Paul Kelly sig. strikes
32TJ O'Brien sig. strikes
2rounds observed
+143%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Paul Kelly)
R1
R2
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
