Durability: Leben finished 3× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (3.8 vs 1.9 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Two grapplers by the numbers (2.3 and 2.9 takedowns per 15). Whoever wins the first clinch battle sets the terms for the rest.
Supporting evidencePace: 3.8 vs 1.9 landed / min
| Attribute | Edgar | Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 31 |
| Height | 5′6″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 68″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Edgar lands 3.8 significant strikes per minute to Maynard’s 1.9: a real volume gap.
Favors EdgarMaynard averages 2.9 takedowns per 15 minutes; Edgar has stopped 65% of attempts on record.
Favors EdgarEdgar has 2 archived five-round fights to Maynard’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors EdgarWatch the first takedown attempt from Edgar: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Edgar keeps landing takedowns at 2.3 per 15 minutes; if Maynard stays upright, the striking rates (3.8 vs 1.9 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
