Pace: 5 vs 1.9 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (87% vs 50% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Opposite stances create an open-side geometry from the first exchange — lead-foot position and the rear-hand lane matter more than usual.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 2-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Silva | Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 37 | 35 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′4″ |
| Reach | 77″ | 79″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Bonnar holds a 2-inch reach edge (79" to 77"); Silva has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors BonnarSilva has finished 87% of archived wins (10 KO/TKO, 3 submission).
Favors SilvaBonnar has been finished 1 time in the archive and absorbs 3 strikes per minute; Silva has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors SilvaRead the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 60% and 52%.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
