Distance: 6-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (3.3 vs 0.5 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 11 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Weidman | Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 38 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 78″ | 77″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Silva has 11 archived five-round fights to Weidman’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors SilvaWeidman averages 3.3 takedowns per 15 minutes; Silva has stopped 69% of attempts on record.
Favors SilvaSilva has finished 88% of archived wins (11 KO/TKO, 3 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors SilvaWeidman has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Weidman keeps landing takedowns at 3.3 per 15 minutes; if Silva stays upright, the striking rates (3.1 vs 3 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
