Durability: Mir finished 6× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.6 vs 2.4 takedowns per 15) and a finishing gap (67% vs 0% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 4 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Pettis | Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 29 |
| Height | 5′10″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 72″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Henderson has 4 archived five-round fights to Pettis’ 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors HendersonHenderson averages 2.4 takedowns per 15 minutes; Pettis has stopped 60% of attempts on record.
Favors PettisPettis holds a 2-inch reach edge (72" to 70"); Henderson has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors PettisPettis has 2 first-round finishes in the last 4 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Henderson keeps landing takedowns at 2.4 per 15 minutes; if Pettis stays upright, the striking rates (3 vs 2.9 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
