Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (5.1 vs 3.4 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 2 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Dillashaw | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 27 |
| Height | 5′6″ | 5′6″ |
| Reach | 67″ | 65″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Dillashaw has 2 archived five-round fights to Soto’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors DillashawDillashaw lands 5.1 significant strikes per minute to Soto’s 3.4: a real volume gap.
Favors DillashawDillashaw holds a 2-inch reach edge (67" to 65"); Soto has to cross distance to land.
Favors DillashawTitle-fight nerves are real: the first round often decides who is willing to lead.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Dillashaw averages 5.1 landed per minute to Soto at 3.4, so Soto needs the counters to land clean (41% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.