Distance: 3-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (3 vs 5.7 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 13 vs 2 five-round fights
| Attribute | Silva | Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 39 | 31 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 77″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Silva has 13 archived five-round fights to Diaz’s 2; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors SilvaDiaz lands 5.7 significant strikes per minute to Silva’s 3: a real volume gap.
Favors DiazSilva has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 2 strikes per minute; Diaz has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors DiazRead the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Diaz averages 5.7 landed per minute to Silva at 3, so Silva needs the counters to land clean (61% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
