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- Rafael Natal vs Tom Watson
Middleweight · 3 rounds · Card
FinalUFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
Saturday, January 31, 2015 · Las Vegas · Nevada
Full card →Result
Rafael Natal def. Tom Watson
Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Referee · Mark SmithAdalaide Byrd · 27-30Sal D'amato · 27-30Lester Griffin · 26-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Rafael NatalRound 3Tom Watson
25 / 57Sig. strikes11 / 58
44%Accuracy19%
27 / 59Total strikes12 / 60
0Knockdowns0
3 / 4Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
0:46Control0:00
5.0Pace / min2.2
100%Control share0%
Rafael Natal
Targethead 84% · body 8% · leg 8%
Phasedistance 96% · clinch 0% · ground 4%
Tom Watson
Targethead 45% · body 9% · leg 45%
Phasedistance 91% · clinch 9% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeRafael Natal landed 25 significant strikes to 11.Striking edgeRafael Natal struck at 44% accuracy to 19%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
- Pace upRafael Natal's significant-strike pace moved +32% from R2 to R3, 5.0 against 3.8 per minute.
- Target shiftRafael Natal's head share of landed strikes moved +21 pts, to 84% head with 8% body and 8% leg.
- Defensive driftRafael Natal absorbed significant strikes +22% faster than in R2, 2.2 against 1.8 per minute.
- Pace upTom Watson's significant-strike pace moved +22% from R2 to R3, 2.2 against 1.8 per minute.
- Defensive driftTom Watson absorbed significant strikes +32% faster than in R2, 5.0 against 3.8 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Rafael Natal
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Tom Watson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
67Rafael Natal sig. strikes
29Tom Watson sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+32%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Rafael Natal)
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Fight stats 3 rounds · UFC Stats
67 / 152Sig. strikes29 / 150
44%Accuracy19%
74 / 159Total strikes33 / 156
0Knockdowns0
8 / 13Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub attempts0
3:30Control0:00
43Head13
6Body1
18Leg15
Rafael NatalTom Watson
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|
| R1 |
Tale of the tape
21-9-1Record17-9-0
32Age32
6'0"Height6'1"
77"Reach73"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
3.10Sig. str./min4.01
2.55TD / 15 min0.15
Rafael Natal6-5 in archive
1KO/TKO wins
1Sub wins
33%Finish rate