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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Rafael NatalRound 3Joao Zeferino
13 / 24Sig. strikes3 / 10
54%Accuracy30%
56 / 74Total strikes4 / 11
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
2:48Control0:05
2.6Pace / min0.6
97%Control share3%
Rafael Natal
Targethead 77% · body 0% · leg 23%
Phasedistance 23% · clinch 0% · ground 77%
Joao Zeferino
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeRafael Natal landed 13 significant strikes to 3.Control edgeRafael Natal held 168s of control to 5s.Striking edgeRafael Natal struck at 54% accuracy to 30%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftRafael Natal's significant-strike accuracy moved +11 pts, 54% against 43%.
Target shiftRafael Natal's head share of landed strikes moved +38 pts, to 77% head with 0% body and 23% leg.
Phase shiftRafael Natal's ground share of landed strikes moved +46 pts, to 77% on the ground against 23% at distance.
Pace downJoao Zeferino's significant-strike pace moved -50% from R2 to R3, 0.6 against 1.2 per minute.
Target shiftJoao Zeferino's head share of landed strikes moved +17 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Rafael Natal
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Joao Zeferino
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
29Rafael Natal sig. strikes
14Joao Zeferino sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+333%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Rafael Natal)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
