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- Ed Herman vs Rafael Natal
Middleweight · 3 rounds · Card
FinalUFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
Saturday, May 10, 2014 · Cincinnati · Ohio
Full card →Result
Ed Herman def. Rafael Natal
Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Referee · Jerry KryszCardo Urso · 27-30Rick Winter · 28-29Daryl Wise · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Ed HermanRound 3Rafael Natal
24 / 37Sig. strikes11 / 27
65%Accuracy41%
28 / 41Total strikes14 / 30
0Knockdowns0
0 / 3Takedowns0 / 5
0Sub. attempts0
0:37Control1:00
4.8Pace / min2.2
38%Control share62%
Ed Herman
Targethead 46% · body 17% · leg 38%
Phasedistance 54% · clinch 46% · ground 0%
Rafael Natal
Targethead 55% · body 18% · leg 27%
Phasedistance 64% · clinch 36% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeEd Herman landed 24 significant strikes to 11.Striking edgeEd Herman struck at 65% accuracy to 41%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
- Pace upEd Herman's significant-strike pace moved +41% from R2 to R3, 4.8 against 3.4 per minute.
- Target shiftEd Herman's head share of landed strikes moved +28 pts, to 46% head with 17% body and 38% leg.
- Grappling pressureEd Herman attempted 3 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 0.
- Target shiftRafael Natal's head share of landed strikes moved +25 pts, to 55% head with 18% body and 27% leg.
- Phase shiftRafael Natal's ground share of landed strikes moved -20 pts, to 0% on the ground against 64% at distance.
- Grappling pressureRafael Natal attempted 4 more takedowns than in R2, 5 against 1.
- Defensive driftRafael Natal absorbed significant strikes +41% faster than in R2, 4.8 against 3.4 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Ed Herman
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Rafael Natal
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
51Ed Herman sig. strikes
35Rafael Natal sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+70%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Ed Herman)
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Fight stats 3 rounds · UFC Stats
51 / 87Sig. strikes35 / 73
59%Accuracy48%
78 / 117Total strikes71 / 114
0Knockdowns0
1 / 4Takedowns1 / 6
0Sub attempts0
2:57Control4:46
22Head15
9Body8
20Leg12
Ed HermanRafael Natal
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|
| R1 |
Tale of the tape
27-16-0 (1 NC)Record21-9-1
33Age31
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach77"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
3.31Sig. str./min3.10
1.96TD / 15 min2.55
Ed Herman8-7 in archive
3KO/TKO wins
3Sub wins
75%Finish rate