Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (42% vs 80% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Opposite stances create an open-side geometry from the first exchange — lead-foot position and the rear-hand lane matter more than usual.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 2 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Anjos | Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 28 |
| Height | 5′8″ | 5′10″ |
| Reach | 70″ | 72″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Pettis has 2 archived five-round fights to Anjos’ 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors PettisPettis has finished 80% of archived wins (2 KO/TKO, 2 submission), 3 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors PettisPettis holds a 2-inch reach edge (72" to 70"); Anjos has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors PettisPettis has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 60% and 54%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.