Experience: 7 vs 4 five-round fights
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Johnson's wrestling (2.4 takedowns per 15) against Cormier's striking is the central exchange: Cormier stops 80% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 6-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Cormier | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 36 | 31 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 72″ | 78″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Johnson holds a 6-inch reach edge (78" to 72"); Cormier has to cross distance to land.
Favors JohnsonJohnson has been finished 4 times in the archive and absorbs 1.8 strikes per minute; Cormier has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors CormierJohnson averages 2.4 takedowns per 15 minutes; Cormier has stopped 80% of attempts on record.
Favors CormierJohnson has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Johnson keeps landing takedowns at 2.4 per 15 minutes; if Cormier stays upright, the striking rates (4.3 vs 3.3 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
