Durability: Rua finished 5× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (6.3 vs 0.4 takedowns per 15) and a finishing gap (100% vs 33% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 6.3 takedowns / 15 vs 85% defense
| Attribute | Rousey | Correia |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 32 |
| Height | 5′7″ | 5′5″ |
| Reach | 66″ | 64″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Rousey averages 6.3 takedowns per 15 minutes; Correia has stopped 85% of attempts on record.
Favors CorreiaRousey has 5 archived five-round fights to Correia’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors RouseyRousey has finished 100% of archived wins (2 KO/TKO, 3 submission), 4 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors RouseyRousey has 4 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Rousey keeps landing takedowns at 6.3 per 15 minutes; if Correia stays upright, the striking rates (4.2 vs 4.4 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
