Durability: Brown finished 6× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (6.9 vs 3 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidencePace: 6.9 vs 3 landed / min
| Attribute | Holloway | Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 29 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 5′10″ |
| Reach | 69″ | 72″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #4 Lightweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Holloway lands 6.9 significant strikes per minute to Pettis’ 3: a real volume gap.
Favors HollowayPettis has 3 archived five-round fights to Holloway’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors PettisPettis holds a 3-inch reach edge (72" to 69"); Holloway has to cross distance to land.
Favors PettisWho sets the range in round one: Pettis holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Holloway averages 6.9 landed per minute to Pettis at 3, so Pettis needs the counters to land clean (47% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
