Pace: 3.8 vs 2.6 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0 vs 2.1 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (6.2 vs 3.7 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 9 vs 2 five-round fights
| Attribute | Hill | Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 43 |
| Height | 6′4″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 79″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Teixeira has 9 archived five-round fights to Hill’s 2; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors TeixeiraHill lands 6.2 significant strikes per minute to Teixeira’s 3.7: a real volume gap.
Favors HillTeixeira has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 4.4 strikes per minute.
Favors HillHill has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Teixeira keeps landing takedowns at 2.1 per 15 minutes; if Hill stays upright, the striking rates (6.2 vs 3.7 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
