Danger zone: 3 recent R1 finishes
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Volume against volume: 5 and 5.6 significant strikes per minute. Defense and accuracy, not output, separate them.
Supporting evidenceDanger zone: 100% finish rate
| Attribute | Pereira | Procházka |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 36 | 31 |
| Height | 6′4″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 79″ | 80″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #3 Light Heavyweight | #2 Light Heavyweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Procházka has finished 100% of archived wins (3 KO/TKO, 1 submission).
Favors ProcházkaPereira has 4 archived five-round fights to Procházka’s 3; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors Pereira5 and 5.6 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (61% vs 55%) decides the exchanges.
Title-fight nerves are real: the first round often decides who is willing to lead.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 52% and 45%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
