Distance: 3-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (6.9 vs 5.2 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Poirier finished 7× on record
| Attribute | Holloway | Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 36 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 69″ | 72″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | #4 Lightweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Poirier has been finished 7 times in the archive and absorbs 4.6 strikes per minute.
Favors HollowayPoirier holds a 3-inch reach edge (72" to 69"); Holloway has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors PoirierHolloway lands 6.9 significant strikes per minute to Poirier’s 5.2: a real volume gap.
Favors HollowayWho sets the range in round one: Poirier holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Holloway averages 6.9 landed per minute to Poirier at 5.2, so Poirier needs the counters to land clean (50% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
