Lightweight · 3 roundsMain Card · Full packet
Matchup read
Pimblett has stopped most takedowns on record; Denis owns the stronger archived finishing profile.
Key signals
Pace5.6Denis5.5PimblettSig. strikes landed / minSimilar output
Pimblett has stopped most takedowns on record; Denis owns the stronger archived finishing profile.
The evidence points to a volume gap (5.3 vs 6.9 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 5-inch reach difference
| Attribute | McGregor | Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 37 | 34 |
| Height | 5′9″ | 5′11″ |
| Reach | 74″ | 69″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | #4 Lightweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
McGregor holds a 5-inch reach edge (74" to 69"); Holloway has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors McGregorHolloway lands 6.9 significant strikes per minute to McGregor’s 5.3: a real volume gap.
Favors HollowayHolloway has 2 archived five-round fights to McGregor’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors HollowayWho sets the range in round one: McGregor holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Holloway averages 6.9 landed per minute to McGregor at 5.3, so McGregor needs the counters to land clean (49% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
Sandhagen has stopped most takedowns on record in the available sample.
Royval carries the higher measured striking pace; Kavanagh has been stopped before in the archive.
Green has stopped most takedowns on record; McKinney holds the reach edge and the open-stance angles.
