Pace: 4.4 vs 3.3 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.4 vs 2.5 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 9 vs 5 five-round fights
| Attribute | Liddell | Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 37 | 31 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 76″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Ortiz has 9 archived five-round fights to Liddell’s 5; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors OrtizOrtiz has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 2.9 strikes per minute.
Favors LiddellOrtiz averages 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes; Liddell has stopped 81% of attempts on record.
Favors LiddellLiddell has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Ortiz keeps landing takedowns at 2.5 per 15 minutes; if Liddell stays upright, the striking rates (3 vs 2.6 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
