Distance: 4-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (100% vs 0% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Opposite stances create an open-side geometry from the first exchange — lead-foot position and the rear-hand lane matter more than usual.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 3-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Silva | Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 37 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 5′11″ |
| Reach | 77″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Silva holds a 3-inch reach edge (77" to 74"); Henderson has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors SilvaSilva has finished 100% of archived wins (4 KO/TKO, 1 submission), 3 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors SilvaHenderson averages 1.5 takedowns per 15 minutes; Silva has stopped 69% of attempts on record.
Favors SilvaSilva has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 60% and 51%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
