Durability: Mir finished 3× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (3 vs 1.1 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (2.1 vs 4.4 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidencePace: 4.4 vs 2.1 landed / min
| Attribute | Evans | Griffin |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 29 |
| Height | 6′0″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 75″ | 77″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Griffin lands 4.4 significant strikes per minute to Evans’ 2.1: a real volume gap.
Favors GriffinEvans averages 3 takedowns per 15 minutes; Griffin has stopped 57% of attempts on record.
Favors GriffinGriffin holds a 2-inch reach edge (77" to 75"); Evans has to cross distance to land.
Favors GriffinWatch the first takedown attempt from Evans: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Evans keeps landing takedowns at 3 per 15 minutes; if Griffin stays upright, the striking rates (2.1 vs 4.4 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
