Pace: 2.9 vs 1.5 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.4 vs 2.5 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (1.6 vs 3 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Tanner finished 3× on record
| Attribute | Loiseau | Tanner |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 34 |
| Height | 6′0″ | 6′0″ |
| Reach | 76″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Tanner has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 2.6 strikes per minute; Loiseau has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors LoiseauLoiseau has finished 100% of archived wins (3 KO/TKO, 0 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 4.
Favors LoiseauTanner averages 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes; Loiseau has stopped 36% of attempts on record.
Favors LoiseauTanner has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Tanner keeps landing takedowns at 2.5 per 15 minutes; if Loiseau stays upright, the striking rates (1.6 vs 3 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
