Pace: 5.7 vs 3 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Rua's wrestling (2 takedowns per 15) against Preux's striking is the central exchange: Preux stops 67% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 7 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Preux | Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 32 |
| Height | 6′3″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 80″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Rua has 7 archived five-round fights to Preux’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors RuaRua has been finished 4 times in the archive and absorbs 2.8 strikes per minute; Preux has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors PreuxPreux holds a 4-inch reach edge (80" to 76"); Rua has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors PreuxPreux has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Rua keeps landing takedowns at 2 per 15 minutes; if Preux stays upright, the striking rates (3 vs 3.6 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
