Durability: Aldo finished 3× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (67% vs 27% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 1 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Moraes | Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 36 |
| Height | 5′6″ | 5′5″ |
| Reach | 67″ | 66″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Moraes has 1 archived five-round fight to Assuncao’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors MoraesMoraes has finished 67% of archived wins (2 KO/TKO, 0 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 4.
Favors MoraesAssuncao averages 1.6 takedowns per 15 minutes; Moraes has stopped 46% of attempts on record.
Favors MoraesMoraes has 2 first-round finishes in the last 4 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 54% and 66%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
