Durability: Schnell finished 7× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (2.6 vs 0.7 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 6-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Bonfim | Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 35 |
| Height | 6′1″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 72.5″ | 78″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #5 Welterweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Brown holds a 6-inch reach edge (78" to 72.5"); Bonfim has to cross distance to land.
Favors BrownBrown has been finished 4 times in the archive and absorbs 3.4 strikes per minute.
Favors BonfimBonfim averages 2.6 takedowns per 15 minutes; Brown has stopped 74% of attempts on record.
Favors BrownWatch the first takedown attempt from Bonfim: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Bonfim keeps landing takedowns at 2.6 per 15 minutes; if Brown stays upright, the striking rates (4.8 vs 4.4 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
