Experience: 24 vs 0 archived bouts
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.4 vs 1.9 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (4.9 vs 3.5 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 6-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Ferguson | Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 32 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 5′8″ |
| Reach | 76″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Ferguson holds a 6-inch reach edge (76" to 70"); Anjos has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors FergusonAnjos has 4 archived five-round fights to Ferguson’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors AnjosAnjos has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 3.2 strikes per minute; Ferguson has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors FergusonAnjos has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Ferguson averages 4.9 landed per minute to Anjos at 3.5, so Anjos needs the counters to land clean (47% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
