Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.7 vs 2.3 takedowns per 15) and a finishing gap (100% vs 41% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 13 vs 5 five-round fights
| Attribute | Jung | Edgar |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 38 |
| Height | 5′7″ | 5′6″ |
| Reach | 72″ | 68″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Edgar has 13 archived five-round fights to Jung’s 5; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors EdgarJung holds a 4-inch reach edge (72" to 68"); Edgar has to cross distance to land.
Favors JungJung has finished 100% of archived wins (3 KO/TKO, 2 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors JungJung has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Edgar keeps landing takedowns at 2.3 per 15 minutes; if Jung stays upright, the striking rates (3.9 vs 3.8 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.