Grappling: 6.4 takedowns / 15 vs 32% defense
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The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Two grapplers by the numbers (3 and 4.1 takedowns per 15). Whoever wins the first clinch battle sets the terms for the rest.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 4.1 takedowns / 15 vs 73% defense
| Attribute | Evans | Salmon |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 29 |
| Height | 6′0″ | 5′10″ |
| Reach | 75″ | Not published |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Salmon averages 4.1 takedowns per 15 minutes; Evans has stopped 73% of attempts on record.
Favors Evans2.1 and 1.5 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (37% vs 33%) decides the exchanges.
Watch the first takedown attempt from Evans: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Evans keeps landing takedowns at 3 per 15 minutes; if Salmon stays upright, the striking rates (2.1 vs 1.5 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
