Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (1.9 vs 0.3 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Opposite stances create an open-side geometry from the first exchange — lead-foot position and the rear-hand lane matter more than usual.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 10 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Anjos | Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 36 | 36 |
| Height | 5′8″ | 5′11″ |
| Reach | 70″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Anjos has 10 archived five-round fights to Felder’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors AnjosAnjos has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 3.2 strikes per minute.
Favors FelderAnjos averages 1.9 takedowns per 15 minutes; Felder has stopped 64% of attempts on record.
Favors FelderRead the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 60% and 48%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.