Distance: 8-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.4 vs 2.6 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 12 vs 2 five-round fights
| Attribute | Grasso | Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 35 |
| Height | 5′5″ | 5′5″ |
| Reach | 66″ | 66.5″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | #2 Women's Flyweight | #1 Women's Flyweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Shevchenko has 12 archived five-round fights to Grasso’s 2; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors ShevchenkoShevchenko averages 2.6 takedowns per 15 minutes; Grasso has stopped 54% of attempts on record.
Favors Grasso4.1 and 3 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (41% vs 52%) decides the exchanges.
Watch the first takedown attempt from Shevchenko: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Shevchenko keeps landing takedowns at 2.6 per 15 minutes; if Grasso stays upright, the striking rates (4.1 vs 3 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
