Grappling: 3.5 takedowns / 15 vs 62% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Hermansson's output (5.2 per minute) against Cannonier's more selective 4.3: pace versus precision.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Cannonier finished 2× on record
| Attribute | Cannonier | Hermansson |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 35 | 31 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 77.5″ | 77.5″ |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Rank | #11 Middleweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Cannonier has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 4.4 strikes per minute.
Favors Hermansson4.3 and 5.2 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (49% vs 45%) decides the exchanges.
Cannonier has finished 80% of archived wins (4 KO/TKO, 0 submission).
Favors CannonierHermansson has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 55% and 56%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
