Durability: Smith finished 4× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (6.9 vs 3.9 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 13 vs 9 five-round fights
| Attribute | Holloway | Jung |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 36 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 5′7″ |
| Reach | 69″ | 72″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #4 Lightweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Holloway has 13 archived five-round fights to Jung’s 9; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors HollowayHolloway lands 6.9 significant strikes per minute to Jung’s 3.9: a real volume gap.
Favors HollowayJung has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 4.5 strikes per minute.
Favors HollowayJung has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Holloway averages 6.9 landed per minute to Jung at 3.9, so Jung needs the counters to land clean (41% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
