Distance: 4-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (5.4 vs 3.2 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidencePace: 5.4 vs 3.2 landed / min
| Attribute | Lineker | Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 32 |
| Height | 5′3″ | 5′3″ |
| Reach | 67″ | 66″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Lineker lands 5.4 significant strikes per minute to Dodson’s 3.2: a real volume gap.
Favors LinekerDodson has 3 archived five-round fights to Lineker’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors DodsonDodson has finished 71% of archived wins (5 KO/TKO, 0 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors DodsonLineker has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Lineker averages 5.4 landed per minute to Dodson at 3.2, so Dodson needs the counters to land clean (40% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
