Durability: Tate finished 3× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (3.2 vs 1.4 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 3.2 takedowns / 15 vs 52% defense
| Attribute | Makhachev | Moisés |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 26 |
| Height | 5′10″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 70.5″ | 70.5″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | #1 Men's Pound-for-Pound | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Makhachev averages 3.2 takedowns per 15 minutes; Moisés has stopped 52% of attempts on record.
Favors MoisésMakhachev has finished 50% of archived wins (1 KO/TKO, 3 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors MakhachevMakhachev has been finished 1 time in the archive and absorbs 1.4 strikes per minute; Moisés has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors MoisésMakhachev has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Makhachev keeps landing takedowns at 3.2 per 15 minutes; if Moisés stays upright, the striking rates (2.3 vs 2.5 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
