Distance: 5-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (5.4 vs 2.7 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidencePace: 5.4 vs 2.7 landed / min
| Attribute | Lineker | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 25 |
| Height | 5′3″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 67″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Lineker lands 5.4 significant strikes per minute to McDonald’s 2.7: a real volume gap.
Favors LinekerMcDonald holds a 3-inch reach edge (70" to 67"); Lineker has to cross distance to land.
Favors McDonaldMcDonald has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 2.8 strikes per minute.
Favors LinekerWho sets the range in round one: McDonald holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Lineker averages 5.4 landed per minute to McDonald at 2.7, so McDonald needs the counters to land clean (42% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
