Distance: 3-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (5.3 vs 3.9 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Siver finished 4× on record
| Attribute | McGregor | Siver |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 36 |
| Height | 5′9″ | 5′6″ |
| Reach | 74″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Siver has been finished 4 times in the archive and absorbs 2.7 strikes per minute; McGregor has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors McGregorMcGregor holds a 4-inch reach edge (74" to 70"); Siver has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors McGregorMcGregor has 1 archived five-round fight to Siver’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors McGregorMcGregor has 3 first-round finishes in the last 4 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: McGregor averages 5.3 landed per minute to Siver at 3.9, so Siver needs the counters to land clean (32% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
