Durability: Shahbazyan finished 4× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (20% vs 71% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Bonfim's wrestling (2.6 takedowns per 15) against Muhammad's striking is the central exchange: Muhammad stops 90% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 5 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Muhammad | Bonfim |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 37 | 28 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 72″ | 72.5″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #7 Welterweight | #5 Welterweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Muhammad has 5 archived five-round fights to Bonfim’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors MuhammadBonfim averages 2.6 takedowns per 15 minutes; Muhammad has stopped 90% of attempts on record.
Favors MuhammadBonfim has finished 71% of archived wins (1 KO/TKO, 4 submission).
Favors BonfimWatch the first takedown attempt from Bonfim: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Bonfim keeps landing takedowns at 2.6 per 15 minutes; if Muhammad stays upright, the striking rates (4.4 vs 4.8 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
