Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (5.2 vs 3 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidencePace: 5.2 vs 3 landed / min
| Attribute | Poirier | Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 30 |
| Height | 5′9″ | 5′10″ |
| Reach | 72″ | 72″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Poirier lands 5.2 significant strikes per minute to Pettis’ 3: a real volume gap.
Favors PoirierPoirier has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 4.6 strikes per minute.
Favors PettisPettis has 4 archived five-round fights to Poirier’s 2; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors PettisRead the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Poirier averages 5.2 landed per minute to Pettis at 3, so Pettis needs the counters to land clean (47% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.