Referee · Dan MiragliottaJeff Mullen · 28-29Chris Lee · 29-28Brian Costello · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
Market
Market data not configured
The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Cezar FerreiraRound 3Nate Marquardt
13 / 14Sig. strikes8 / 10
93%Accuracy80%
62 / 68Total strikes22 / 26
0Knockdowns0
2 / 3Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
4:26Control0:16
2.6Pace / min1.6
94%Control share6%
Cezar Ferreira
Targethead 15% · body 77% · leg 8%
Phasedistance 15% · clinch 0% · ground 85%
Nate Marquardt
Targethead 88% · body 13% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 13% · clinch 13% · ground 75%
Statistical signals
Output edgeCezar Ferreira landed 13 significant strikes to 8.Control edgeCezar Ferreira held 266s of control to 16s.Striking edgeCezar Ferreira struck at 93% accuracy to 80%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downCezar Ferreira's significant-strike pace moved -28% from R2 to R3, 2.6 against 3.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftCezar Ferreira's significant-strike accuracy moved +45 pts, 93% against 47%.
Target shiftCezar Ferreira's head share of landed strikes moved -29 pts, to 15% head with 77% body and 8% leg.
Phase shiftCezar Ferreira's ground share of landed strikes moved +85 pts, to 85% on the ground against 15% at distance.
Grappling pressureCezar Ferreira attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 1.
Control swingCezar Ferreira's control time moved +248s, 266s against 18s.
Pace downNate Marquardt's significant-strike pace moved -60% from R2 to R3, 1.6 against 4.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftNate Marquardt's significant-strike accuracy moved +26 pts, 80% against 54%.
Target shiftNate Marquardt's head share of landed strikes moved +32 pts, to 88% head with 13% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftNate Marquardt's ground share of landed strikes moved +75 pts, to 75% on the ground against 13% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Cezar Ferreira
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Nate Marquardt
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
47Cezar Ferreira sig. strikes
36Nate Marquardt sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+150%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Nate Marquardt)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
