Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Volume against volume: 5.6 and 5 significant strikes per minute. Defense and accuracy, not output, separate them.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 3 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Procházka | Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 31 |
| Height | 6′3″ | 6′4″ |
| Reach | 80″ | 77″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | #2 Light Heavyweight | #8 Light Heavyweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Reyes has 3 archived five-round fights to Procházka’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors ReyesProcházka holds a 3-inch reach edge (80" to 77"); Reyes has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors ProcházkaReyes has finished 67% of archived wins (3 KO/TKO, 1 submission).
Favors ReyesWho sets the range in round one: Procházka holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 45% and 49%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.