Grappling: 2.2 takedowns / 15 vs 81% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Teixeira's wrestling (2.1 takedowns per 15) against Preux's striking is the central exchange: Preux stops 67% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 4-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Teixeira | Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 35 | 32 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 76″ | 80″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Preux holds a 4-inch reach edge (80" to 76"); Teixeira has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors PreuxPreux has finished 83% of archived wins (4 KO/TKO, 1 submission), 3 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors PreuxTeixeira averages 2.1 takedowns per 15 minutes; Preux has stopped 67% of attempts on record.
Favors PreuxPreux has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Teixeira keeps landing takedowns at 2.1 per 15 minutes; if Preux stays upright, the striking rates (3.7 vs 3 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
