Distance: 4-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Burns's wrestling (2 takedowns per 15) against Woodley's striking is the central exchange: Woodley stops 87% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 6 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Burns | Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 38 |
| Height | 5′10″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 71″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Woodley has 6 archived five-round fights to Burns’ 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors WoodleyWoodley holds a 3-inch reach edge (74" to 71"); Burns has to cross distance to land.
Favors WoodleyBurns averages 2 takedowns per 15 minutes; Woodley has stopped 87% of attempts on record.
Favors WoodleyWatch the first takedown attempt from Burns: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Burns keeps landing takedowns at 2 per 15 minutes; if Woodley stays upright, the striking rates (3.2 vs 2.4 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
